Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.861123 2.123767 2.412166 2.752660 3.144096 3.580501 4.104633
2025-09-21 1.482569 1.826083 2.234413 2.756828 3.409317 4.199799 5.233801
2025-09-28 1.180791 1.549676 2.018133 2.659347 3.518443 4.635648 6.208393
2025-10-05 1.044253 1.449054 1.993957 2.785865 3.915473 5.481022 7.836442
2025-10-12 0.942866 1.374389 1.986017 2.923650 4.338370 6.414825 9.733216
2025-10-19 0.842219 1.282376 1.935474 2.985552 4.651770 7.227168 11.574483
2025-10-26 0.758268 1.200938 1.885579 3.035182 4.945286 8.041290 13.538478
2025-11-02 0.662387 1.086496 1.767137 2.955300 5.012929 8.494221 14.965851
2025-11-09 0.569755 0.964463 1.619370 2.803490 4.932649 8.678530 15.940863
2025-11-16 0.513895 0.896651 1.552431 2.779093 5.066639 9.247247 17.692413
2025-11-23 0.461468 0.828079 1.475168 2.724465 5.134923 9.700093 19.285821
2025-11-30 0.442481 0.816834 1.497794 2.855402 5.567331 10.894177 22.532416
2025-12-07 0.414572 0.786935 1.484667 2.920577 5.889302 11.935907 25.681353
2025-12-14 0.380086 0.740498 1.434847 2.907020 6.050934 12.677581 28.319468
2025-12-21 0.338883 0.676135 1.342599 2.794892 5.990361 12.942472 29.936095
2025-12-28 0.326811 0.668929 1.363751 2.923230 6.467158 14.446970 34.709210
2026-01-04 0.316703 0.664502 1.389868 3.065430 6.995213 16.146983 40.271686
2026-01-11 0.300370 0.644901 1.381417 3.129020 7.350547 17.497419 45.205564
2026-01-18 0.284473 0.624398 1.368507 3.180374 7.683697 18.844369 50.384080
2026-01-25 0.259963 0.581953 1.301908 3.096066 7.671089 19.326575 53.301920
2026-02-01 0.232775 0.530495 1.209140 2.936450 7.445275 19.225901 54.558003
2026-02-08 0.217091 0.504197 1.172138 2.910730 7.563330 20.051298 58.662890
2026-02-15 0.200871 0.474938 1.124979 2.853324 7.589201 20.631012 62.146174